Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 10.549174 12.186916 13.939772 15.949176 18.182564 20.582325 23.349272
2025-02-23 8.291583 10.397150 12.793547 15.701595 19.112782 22.964758 27.619707
2025-03-02 6.663816 8.977915 11.754843 15.289336 19.621881 24.711870 31.092394
2025-03-09 5.570024 8.003304 11.063134 15.121438 20.284410 26.552147 34.646711
2025-03-16 4.639696 7.089330 10.308567 14.743586 20.578728 27.872039 37.540330
2025-03-23 4.060190 6.555948 9.966506 14.822862 21.398627 29.821931 41.233305
2025-03-30 3.540077 6.032303 9.568737 14.764288 21.990389 31.458275 44.540792
2025-04-06 3.172950 5.682394 9.367844 14.936591 22.867774 33.467066 48.365963
2025-04-13 2.856319 5.367743 9.179630 15.094156 23.706138 35.426978 52.162208
2025-04-20 2.649085 5.199913 9.187470 15.521050 24.922842 37.921767 56.732546
2025-04-27 2.435432 4.994468 9.114000 15.809377 25.936355 40.152048 60.989333
2025-05-04 2.185850 4.696588 8.865366 15.804792 26.505421 41.760770 64.414606
2025-05-11 1.837045 4.180959 8.222416 15.146085 26.069879 41.929564 65.840880
2025-05-18 1.615922 3.871580 7.892435 14.954897 26.318845 43.074771 68.662537
2025-05-25 1.393081 3.527559 7.469482 14.576881 26.248497 43.733693 70.785718
2025-06-01 1.230436 3.281466 7.195376 14.422726 26.511398 44.880498 73.631189
2025-06-08 1.060488 2.994244 6.818038 14.061853 26.416249 45.471429 75.658779
2025-06-15 0.963352 2.852493 6.699187 14.139421 27.029121 47.148246 79.328402
2025-06-22 0.861647 2.684758 6.514071 14.083502 27.411660 48.471860 82.489762
2025-06-29 0.793124 2.585756 6.455175 14.249663 28.167197 50.390466 86.588218
2025-07-06 0.729547 2.489292 6.392192 14.401524 28.898997 52.284926 90.684984
2025-07-13 0.694311 2.460574 6.466508 14.812835 30.088083 54.931381 95.989409
2025-07-20 0.650313 2.401976 6.472002 15.090677 31.050846 57.234261 100.803593